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75396 bets and I finally hit 1000x on Plinko!

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75396 bets and FINALLY I HIT 1000x on PLINKO

I left a comment in the "Plinko 1000x" thread, but it grew too much, so I decided to open a separate topic. I will be glad to see your comments and advices.

 

So this is my story.

How I Played:

ONE SEED PAIR (SERVER/CLIENT) (never changed all the game and not changed yet) I have only played plinko on this seed
  From 0 bet to 75,396

320237889_ScreenShot2019-01-03at18_42_19.png.2674999f443254372ff5ce7e4747e5a4.png

Last bet that I made:

PLINKO: 2,182,144,567

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.01000000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

1000x

Profit

9.99000000 ltc.svg

Settings

  •  Risk multiplier: HIGH
  •  Number of pins: 16 (never changed

Total bets: 

  • 75,396

Total wagered: 

  • 192.60190872 LTC
  • 0.04 BTC

Outcome: 

  • Profit of 5.22389950 LTC
  • Loss of 0.00245000 BTC
  • ~ 37 hours of betting

A few times I got message: "The server can't process your request...." (it appeared for 2-3 seconds and disappeared, so I could not make a screenshot or take copy of the message)

 

How I made bets:

  • Start bet was: 0.00001024 LTC
  • When my profit became equal:    -1000*0.00001024/2    I double bet amount and e.t.c.

As @Dan said:

On 10/11/2017 at 4:15 AM, Dan said:

Based on the fundamentals of Binomial Expansion, here is the probability of how likely you are to land in each of the outcomes listed on 16 pin Plinko.

1  •  16  •  120  •  560  •  1820  •  4368  •  8008  •  11440  •  12870  •  11440  •  8008  •  4368  •  1820  •  560  •  120  •  16  •  1

Total = 65536
Odds of 1000x = 2 / 65536 = 1 / 32768

Further information can be found here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal's_triangle

I don't believe in luck I believe in math.

Most likely I will continue this game until I hit 1000x. But how long it can go on I don't know.  (the limit of my patience is almost exhausted)

So think a few times before getting involved for 1000x plinko hunt!

 

UPDATED on 03.01.2019 16:00 GMT+2 

In last 1000 bets I got few times 26x and 130x:

  • bet №70359:

PLINKO: 2,179,252,392

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.00700000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

26x

Profit

0.17500000 ltc.svg
  • bet №70378:

PLINKO: 2,179,258,011

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.00700000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

130x

Profit

0.90300000 ltc.svg
  • bet №70392:

PLINKO: 2,179,262,025

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.00700000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

26x

Profit

0.17500000 ltc.svg
  • bet №70394:

PLINKO: 2,179,262,600

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.00700000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

26x

Profit

0.17500000 ltc.svg

So I back some coins and decided to reduce base bet and continue: 

  • bet №70666:

PLINKO: 2,179,349,571

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.00500000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

130x

Profit

0.64500000 ltc.svg

In total I back around 2 LTC. Hope I will hit 1000x very soon

 

UPDATED on 03.01.2019 17:50 GMT+2 

I made 4000 more bets but the miracle still not happened.

Latest 25 bets made with amount 0.01 - 0.025 got one 26x

  • bet №75018:

PLINKO: 2,181,420,126

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.02500000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

26x

Profit

0.62500000 ltc.svg

But I still in negative profit 

  • Loss of 4.67410050 LTC
  • Loss of 0.00245000 BTC

 

LAST UPDATE on 03.01.2019 18:43 GMT+2 : 

Winning bet:

PLINKO: 2,182,144,567

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.01000000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

1000x

Profit

9.99000000 ltc.svg

Outcome: 

  • Profit of 5.22389950 LTC
  • Loss of 0.00245000 BTC
  • ~ 37 hours of betting

Topic closed

Edited by 404

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Good luck, keep in mind just because mathematically you should hit one 1000x every 32.7k rolls doesn't mean you will. It's like playing 4x payout on dice where you should expect one win every 4 bets yet we all know just how ridiculous those red loss streaks can come. For all we know, the last person who played your server seed before you could've hit like 3 1000x within like lets say 1k rolls, meaning the next one wouldn't be due for another 98k rolls. Or you could just be super unlucky and if you persist maybe you will hit a few 1000x very soon 😛 

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1 minute ago, 404 said:

So at least once for 71,001 bets I should have to hit 1000x? How do you think?

Think of it as playing dice 2x. or diamond poker. You should win 50% of the time (ok, 49.5% for dice, but let's work with 50%). So that means, according to math, you should win every second game. But that is not the case in reality. You could have 6 green or red streaks, anything could happen really.

So the same applies to this - You statistically "should" hit 1000x every 32768 rolls, but of course, in reality, you could have 200,000 misses, and then after that hit 1000x 4 times in a few rolls to make up for the statisitcs. So it really is unpredictable. Remember the dice 2x example to help give you perspective :)

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First of all sorry you went through all the trouble and be exhausted and also exhausting your balance. Secondly you did put a theory down so congrats for that. Thridly I am so sorry for you loss of 200$ hope you get them back somehow. Fourth of all I thats why gambling is pure luck which I always say but maths is also applicable soo I guess Stale has some recoding to do @Edward ? Not pointing but just asking is this intentional or a bug. ?

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17 minutes ago, Kate said:

Fourth of all I thats why gambling is pure luck which I always say but maths is also applicable soo I guess Stale has some recoding to do @Edward ? Not pointing but just asking is this intentional or a bug. ?

It's not a bug, statistically it is possible to get 100 reds in a row on dice 2x, so it is also statistically possible to roll 1 million time and not hit 1000x. That is just statistics :)

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5 hours ago, 404 said:

!!!!! FINALLY I DID IT !!!!!

75396 losses and WIN

PLINKO: 2,182,144,567

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.01000000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

1000x

Profit

9.99000000 ltc.svg

 

 

Congratulations! How much did u end up wagering and profit?:)

Going for a new challenge?

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Congratulations mate! This is absolutely huge!!!!!!!!!! I saw your previous post and I wanted to tell you, it was probably a good idea to increase your bets considering how unlucky you have been!

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Posted (edited)
15 hours ago, 404 said:

!!!!! FINALLY I DID IT !!!!!

75396 losses and WIN

PLINKO: 2,182,144,567

placed by 404 on 03/01/2019

Wagered

0.01000000 ltc.svg

Multiplier

1000x

Profit

9.99000000 ltc.svg

 

 

Lol nice)) Looks strange, but it happens only after creating thread here

Edited by cryptoguru

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Thank all of you guys for the congratulations!

@Kristoffff@williamshennie9

  • WAGERED (LTC)   192.60341400
  • PROFIT (LTC)        5.22483339

@Kristoffff

Perhaps I will, but first I want to relax a bit. It was a very exhausting hunt.

I want to take up the hunt for 5 million x on mines. Last year I caught this multiplier once, but with a zero bet, somewhere in 55-60k bets (and it was very fast for such an multiplier). If I decide to hunt, I will open the same topic and I will post detailed reports on success.

@Dan

The last 5000 bets I told myself: "this is the last thousand and I finish game". But a little returned balance and again got involved in a fight 😃 

After the 75,000th bet, I changed the bet amount several times, because I had already begun to completely lose hope that it would ever happen.

Bet amounts were 0.005 / 0.007 / 0.01 / several times of 0.02 / 0.025.

I'm glad this grueling fight is over :)

@FotisNt

I will not undertake to draw such conclusions. I think everyone will decide for by self ) It can happen on the first bets, so

@Waves

Yeah buddy it was toooooo long )

@MrJoker777

When I got involved this, I counted on 45-50k bets, but I was a little wrong 😃 

@cryptoguru

I do not think this is strange. At the beginning I left a comment in this topic

But I just decided to open a separate topic, because my previous comment had grown too much.

@meggiemegs

I'll take a little break now ;) 

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Congrats man!! I see you were very patient as you said in the post you were betting for 37 hours... and also you proved the theory that its not always 32k rolls to hit the 1000x. Also doing martingale on plinko is very risky because you don't have a chance of always making profit unlike on dice where you have exactly 2x, on plinko it can hit 0.2x or 1000x its all random. :)

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wow.  thats an awesome hit too. Were you betting that high the whole time you were hunting it? nonetheless grats on finally hitting it. not too shabby on the payout either lol.. 9ltc.. nice.. ive only managed to hit 1000x with small bets so far. hopefully ine day i can hit it with a big bet as well. now that youve broken the ice.. youll hit it more hopefully.. thats wha happeneded to me.. took months before i was able to hit my first, but after that, i was able to hit atleast once a week. xD congrats again on a huge win.

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